Advisory committee motion 0xab53...1c34

Recent military coups in Mali, Guinea, Burkina Faso, and Niger have raised concerns over West Africa's democratic stability. Out of at least 242 successful military coups that have occurred globally since 1950, Africa accounts for the largest number at 106. Though coups across Africa declined since 2000, there's been a recent surge in West Africa. Factors include governance issues and rising insecurity in the Sahel, a global terrorism hotspot. Responses include UK condemnations and ECOWAS sanctions, while the influence of French colonial legacy is being re-examined.

This market resolves to “Yes” if, before the close of this market, Reuters, the BBC, Financial Times or New York Times report that there is a military coup in any of the following: Benin, Burkina Faso, Cape Verde, The Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Ivory Coast, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, or Togo. This market resolves solely based on the named resolution sources. Only one needs to call the event a coup for the market to resolve to “Yes”. It resolves to “No” otherwise.

If one of these nations should change its name or split into two nations, this market also resolves to “Yes” if there is a military coup in that nation or nations.