Question | Will Prigozhin Be the Head of the Wagner Mercenary Group at the End of 2023?↗ |
Description | The current narrative is that Belarusian President Lukashenko intervened in the Wagner rebellion led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, convincing Putin to spare him and allow a peaceful resolution. Prigozhin and some of his mercenaries are now in Belarus, where they have the option to join Belarus's forces. Perhaps the Russian public questions Putin's security control following the mutiny. Meanwhile, Prigozhin's popularity has taken a hit within the Wagner ranks. His halt of the rebellion sparked outrage among his troops, leading to accusations of betrayal. Conspiracy theories about Prigozhin and Putin staging the coup are circulating but experts view the event as a humiliation for Putin and significantly damaged Prigozhin's reputation. Prigozhin’s final comment after the rebellion was an ambiguous message of satisfaction, fueling further speculation about his future plans. Despite these events, Putin has vowed to punish those responsible for the mutiny while Prigozhin remains in Belarus with an unclear future. This market resolves with “Yes” if at 00:00 on 1st January 2024 (GMT+3), Prigozhin is still being referred to by Reuters as the head of the Wagner mercenary group. It resolves “no” if he is not for any reason. |
Tags | Politics |